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Ultrashambles?
Mar. 28th, 2017 12:21 pm“This is likely to be the most complicated negotiation of modern times. It may be the most complicated negotiation of all times." - David Davis.
Bear in mind that the government has yet to successfully roll out Universal Credit nationwide after 6 years in power. How many times more complicated is Brexit - 10, 100? It will take up most of the govt's time for many, many years and will require us to replicate at great cost many of the EU's agencies (eg European Aviation Safety Agency, European Maritime Safety Agency, European Chemicals Agency), will require us to quickly become experts in the extremely complicated realm of international trade - and in exchange we get a worse trading relationship with what is by far our biggest trading partner, an exodus of the EU doctors, nurses and care workers that our society relies on, huge disruption to scientific and medical research, and less money for the NHS as banks downsize and the economy as a whole takes a hit. We also risk seeing the country break up, which would compound all of the problems above.
Here's just one example of how complicated it will be to actually achieve Brexit:
https://tradebetablog.wordpress.com/2017/01/06/limits-of-possibility/
If the government were made up of geniuses, they might just about be able to implement Brexit with only moderate disruption to the country and economy. Given that they appear not to be geniuses, Armando Iannucci may have to invent a new word to exceed "omnishambles".
Bear in mind that the government has yet to successfully roll out Universal Credit nationwide after 6 years in power. How many times more complicated is Brexit - 10, 100? It will take up most of the govt's time for many, many years and will require us to replicate at great cost many of the EU's agencies (eg European Aviation Safety Agency, European Maritime Safety Agency, European Chemicals Agency), will require us to quickly become experts in the extremely complicated realm of international trade - and in exchange we get a worse trading relationship with what is by far our biggest trading partner, an exodus of the EU doctors, nurses and care workers that our society relies on, huge disruption to scientific and medical research, and less money for the NHS as banks downsize and the economy as a whole takes a hit. We also risk seeing the country break up, which would compound all of the problems above.
Here's just one example of how complicated it will be to actually achieve Brexit:
https://tradebetablog.wordpress.com/2017/01/06/limits-of-possibility/
If the government were made up of geniuses, they might just about be able to implement Brexit with only moderate disruption to the country and economy. Given that they appear not to be geniuses, Armando Iannucci may have to invent a new word to exceed "omnishambles".
